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Surmise

/səˈrmaɪz/
C1
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(noun) Thought, imagination, or conjecture, which may be based upon feeble or scanty evidence; suspicion; guess.

"What do you think of my theory?" "It is all surmise."
CEFR Practice Quiz
From the evidence we have, we can ____ that the fire was caused by an electrical fault in the old building today.

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